The statewide poll provides new perspectives on how voters view the Presidential, Senate, House, Governor’s, and State Superintendent races 

View poll results here.

Helena, MT — With Montana as one of the top priorities for both political parties on nearly every top ticket race this election season, NBC Montana partnered with Strategies 360’s nationally-recognized public opinion research team to find out how campaigns are influencing voters’ decisions as mail ballots are sent in and communities prepare for Election Day. S360 Montana’s leads and political analysts, Melissa Shannon and Glenn Oppel, will be breaking down the results on NBC Montana beginning Thursday, October 22.

At the time of the release, according to the Secretary of State website, 45% of registered voters had cast ballots with 46,000 ballots returned yesterday alone.

As one of the only public polls in the field during this election cycle, the poll shows the U.S. Senate race between Governor Steve Bullock and Sen. Steve Daines in a near dead heat.

The U.S. House race between Kathleen Williams and State Auditor Matthew Rosendale is another tight one, seeing both candidates polling at 46%.

In Montana’s hotly contested gubernatorial race between Rep. Greg Gianforte and Lt. Governor Mike Cooney, Gianforte has a 7% lead – outside the margin of error.

The rematch between current Superintendent Public Instruction (SPI) Elsie Arntzen and former Montana Teacher of the Year, Melissa Romano, has Romano leading Arntzen slightly, but within the margin of error and with a higher percentage of undecided voters than any other race surveyed.

The insight provided by the S360/NBC Montana poll reveals Vice President Joe Biden is trailing President Donald Trump by 8 points, with 4% of surveyed voters remaining undecided.

“NBC Montana is excited to partner with Strategies 360 during this historic election season,” said NBC Montana News Director Chris Avery. “This partnership and opportunity to offer data on key races, including Senate, House and Governor is unique. Melissa Shannon and Glenn Oppel offer distinct context that is unmatched in the Treasure State.”

Statement on methodology: Strategies 360 conducted a mixed-mode survey of 500 likely November 2020 voters in Montana. Interviews were conducted October 15th-20th, 2020. A combination of landlines, cell phones, and voter file-based online interviews via text message were used to ensure greater coverage of the population sampled.

The margin of error for a survey of 500 interviews is ±4.4% at the 95% confidence interval. The margin of error is higher for subsamples. Other sources of error not accounted for by the stated statistical margin of error include, but are not limited to, question wording, question order, coverage bias, and response bias.

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With the added expertise of Lindsey Mears, Chase Ramos and Emily Klein, S360 bolsters its ability to deliver valuable research for clients’ unique needs in 2020.

Seattle, WA – Strategies 360 has been expanding our research practice with the additions of Research Director Lindsey Mears and Research Analysts Chase Ramos and Emily Klein. Based across S360’s western footprint, the research team has been delivering important data throughout 2020 with the skilled insight of the firm’s newest research professionals. Our expert research team has made a difference for clients working on everything from policy initiatives to messaging strategy in a complex, ever-changing environment.

“This year has been a practice in quick changes that require incisive decisions,” said Ron Dotzauer, Founder and CEO of Strategies 360. “S360’s research professionals have been providing top-tier data-driven insights that help clients move their most important projects forward with confidence. The team has also been at the forefront of some of the most critical public conversations of the day – and they do so with professionalism and thoughtfulness.”

As Research Director, Lindsey Mears brings an audience-centered approach to client projects across the firm footprint. She is an insightful strategist who specializes in message development, audience identification and segmentation, and reputation management.

Lindsey started her career in political campaign polling and has since worked with businesses ranging from unions to large energy corporations to international financial institutions to regional transportation companies. Lindsey is a RIVA-trained focus group moderator, having moderated dozens of focus groups nationwide.

Chase Ramos joined S360 as a Research Analyst while living in California. There he worked to enhance voting access through research on city compliance of the California Voting Rights Act of 2001. His team’s findings confirmed that city compliance with the policy saw increases in racial representation on their city councils. This project underscored his belief in designing policy to ensure representative, democratic systems. Chase brings his passion for public policy into every research project he undertakes. Combining keen policy insights with campaign strategy, Chase helps lead research project logistics and quality assurance.

S360’s newest Research Analyst, Emily Klein joins the firm after serving as a summer intern for the past three years. In this role, she collaborates to deliver data that addresses clients’ pressing issues and strategic needs. She brings her background in literature to all aspects of her work, especially crafting effective messages, qualitative analysis and quality assurance. Emily was previously a Junior Analyst with S360, where she helped clients on an array of policy and initiative projects. Prior to S360, Emily worked in publications and was active with organizations that advocate for immigration reform and global poverty relief.

“Lindsey, Chase and Emily have grown our capacity to deliver winning insight for our clients,” said Kevin Ingham, Senior Vice President of Research. “They further bolster our very talented team of pollsters and every one of our clients will benefit from their addition to our ranks.”

This year, S360’s research team launched the new California Community Polls on behalf of The Center for Asian Americans United for Self Empowerment (CAUSE), Hispanas Organized for Political Equality (HOPE), and The Los Angeles Urban League, in consultation with the Los Angeles Times.

The polls, completed in February and July of this year, demonstrate a significant shift in attitudes on race and identity among Californians. They also examined Presidential primary preferences, and views on education, COVID-19 and policing.

“The California Community Polls are an example of the power of opinion research to contribute to the most important conversations taking place in our country,” said Drew Lieberman, Senior Vice President of Research. “The unique perspectives of our partners, crossed with our team’s commitment to helping our clients gain valuable insights, help advance these critical issues.”

S360’s research team consists of eight full time professionals located across the firm footprint. You can learn more about our research services and connect with the team at www.strategies360.com/services/research/.

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Seattle, WA

With a background in political psychology, Ben has specialized in research on electoral politics, campaign finance reform, healthcare, and race. Over the past seven years, he has polled for four sitting U.S. Senators, run the University of Southern California / Los Angeles Times statewide poll, and aided several major corporate brands and organizations with nuanced analysis of market trends.

In 2018, he played a key role in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s national research, sharpening its messaging as Democrats picked up 40 seats and won the House. His research on low-propensity voters drove the DCCC’s historic $30 million investment to turn out diverse voters, women, and millennials.

“Ben’s political acumen is a great asset. His innovative approach to research and whip-smart analysis means our clients can access the best information to successfully drive their messages forward,” said Ron Dotzauer, founder and CEO of Strategies 360.

Ben is most interested in finding out what issues, emotions, and messages motivate people to vote, support a cause, or buy a product – and then how those motivations can be reinforced or changed. A trained moderator, he has overseen over 50 focus groups across the country, on topics ranging from elections to healthcare to campaign finance laws. Ben also has significant experience using emerging online technologies like Qualboards, online focus groups, and mixed-mode methodologies to meet clients’ needs in an environment where fewer people take telephone surveys.

Ben, who will work out of Strategies 360’s Seattle headquarters, is no stranger to the Pacific Northwest. In 2017, his research helped Jenny Durkan emerge from a crowded field to be elected the Mayor of Seattle, and in 2015, he polled for Honest Elections Seattle in the successful effort to pass I-122, which implemented numerous campaign finance reforms and the democracy voucher system the city uses today.

Prior to joining S360, Ben was a Senior Associate at Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, and Research Director at The Feldman Group in Washington DC. He graduated from Washington University in St. Louis with degrees in Political Science and Psychology. Outside the office, he can usually be found on a soccer field.

About Strategies 360: With offices in 12 Western states and Washington, D.C., Strategies 360 is the leading public affairs, communications, research, and marketing firm in the west. The firm also owns and operates its own in-house creative design and marketing practice, The Hilt. With experts drawn from the worlds of government, politics, the news media, quantitative and qualitative research, advertising, marketing and design, S360 crafts and executes the strategies that help clients succeed.

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POLL COMES BEFORE COUNCIL VOTE, SHOWS “STUNNING NUMBERS” THROUGHOUT SEATTLE

With the City of Seattle embroiled in a debate over the City Council’s proposed employee head tax plan, Strategies 360 teamed up with KIRO 7 News to find out how Seattle voters are responding.

The exclusive poll came as the first piece of publicly released opinion research into the issue that has dominated the city’s news cycle and produced what S360 Co-founder and CEO, Ron Dotzauer called some “stunning numbers.”

The survey found the proposal to charge Seattle businesses that earn more than $20 million a year with an employee head tax entirely underwater, with 54% of Seattle voters opposed to the plan, compared to 38% in support:

“This is a vote that Seattle doesn’t want,” Dotzauer told KIRO 7 News when analyzing the poll results. “The biggest surprise of this poll is the intensity of the opposition – usually you get a little more balance. Clearly, there are some very strong feelings about the head tax in Seattle.”

When asked at what dollar amount voters might support a head tax, the poll showed strong opposition across the board:

Compounding the clear public sentiment opposing a head tax in any form was a strong distrust of Seattle government to manage the money raised by a potential head tax wisely:

The live telephone poll of 400 registered voters in Seattle was released by KIRO 7 on Monday morning, ahead of the Seattle City Council’s full vote on the proposed $500-per-worker head tax on some Seattle businesses.

View the full survey results here, and read the full coverage and analysis by KIRO 7 here.

Statement on Methodology:

In partnership with KIRO 7 News, Strategies 360 conducted a survey among 400 registered voters in the city of Seattle. The survey was conducted by live professional interviewers between May 11^th and 13^th, 2018. A combination of landline and mobile phones were called to ensure greater coverage of the population sampled.

The margin of error for a survey of 400 interviews is ±4.9% at the 95% confidence interval. The margin of error is higher for subsamples. Other sources of error not accounted for by the stated statistical margin of error include, but are not limited to, question wording, question order, coverage bias, and response bias.

The sample for this survey was drawn randomly from a list of registered voters and stratified by Seattle City Council District. Quotas were assigned to reflect the actual contribution of these areas to the total electorate. The sample reflects the demographic composition of the Seattle electorate per data from the U.S. Census Bureau, King County Elections, and several distinct voter files.

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• Charters Survey Results Memo – Political analysis
• 16-095 – March Charter Schools Survey – Toplines

The post Results Memo and Toplines: Washington Voters Demonstrate Overwhelming Support for Continued Funding of Charter Schools appeared first on Strategies 360.

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